ArayaPRO Intelligence

Supplier Risk Watch

Real-world supplier fraud, payment risk and third-party failures — what happened, what went wrong, and how stronger supplier controls can reduce the risk.

5 risk briefs tracked · Latest 5 September 2026

Risk
Geography
Invoice Fraud·Global·

Two in Five Businesses Hit by Invoice Fraud, New Research Finds — Averaging US$367,000 in Losses

New industry research from Ivalua and Sapio Research found 40% of 800 procurement decision-makers across the US, UK, Germany and France experienced invoice fraud in the past 12 months, with affected organisations reporting average losses of US$367,000.

Control Failure: Manual Supplier ControlsImpact: 40% of organisations experienced invoice fraud in the past 12 months, with affected businesses reporting average losses of US$367,000
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Business Email Compromise·United States·

The Email Confirmed Itself. $7.5 Million Went to the Wrong Account.

A Nigerian national was sentenced to eight years in U.S. federal prison for a business email compromise scheme that diverted more than US$7.5 million from two charities — using a second compromised email account to falsely confirm the fraudulent payment.

Control Failure: Email-Based Payment ConfirmationImpact: More than US$7.5m diverted to fraudulent bank accounts across two charitable organisations
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Supplier Financial Distress·Australia·

Bathla Collapse Exposes Downstream Supplier and Subcontractor Risk

Sydney developer Bathla Group entered administration on 25 August with debts above $3.2 billion, leaving subcontractor Delta Foundations owed close to $400,000 as an unsecured creditor — a reminder that supplier risk doesn't begin and end with fraud.

Control Failure: Ongoing Supplier Financial MonitoringImpact: ~$400k owed to a single subcontractor as an unsecured creditor, against $3.2bn+ in group debts
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Payment Redirection Fraud·Australia·

Payment Redirection Fraud Is Rising as Supplier Verification Struggles to Keep Up

Australian businesses lost $166.8m to payment redirection scams in 2025 — up 9.3% on 2024 — as criminals increasingly substitute fraudulent bank details into an otherwise genuine supplier payment rather than relying on a fake invoice.

Control Failure: Bank Detail ChangeImpact: $166.8m lost to payment redirection scams in Australia in 2025 (+9.3% year on year)
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Business Email Compromise·Australia·

The Invoice Was Real. The Bank Details Weren't.

A Catholic Development Fund case study of a foiled payment redirection attempt: a supplier's compromised email requested a bank-detail change with a genuine invoice attached, and only an independent phone call caught it before the payment went out.

Control Failure: Bank Detail Change VerificationImpact: Payment redirection attempt caught before funds were sent
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